Shane Fernando

10
Sep
Why Most S&OP Processes Don't Work

Why Most S&OP Processes Don't Work

Plenty of businesses have an S&OP process on paper. A calendar, a set of meetings, a template deck. Far fewer have one that actually changes what the business does. Here's what usually goes wrong, based on the patterns that show up again and again.
3 min read
10
Sep
How to Build a 13-Week Supply Plan

How to Build a 13-Week Supply Plan

Thirteen weeks is a common horizon in supply planning for a good reason: it's usually long enough to cover most lead times end to end, short enough to stay genuinely actionable, and it maps neatly onto a quarter, which makes it easy to talk about with the rest of the business.
3 min read
10
Sep
Production Planning vs Production Scheduling

Production Planning vs Production Scheduling

These two get used as if they're the same thing, and in a small operation they might genuinely be handled by the same person on the same day. But they're different jobs, working at different time horizons, and confusing them is a common source of friction between planning and the factory floor.
3 min read
10
Sep
How to Measure Forecast Accuracy: MAPE, WAPE and Bias Explained

How to Measure Forecast Accuracy: MAPE, WAPE and Bias Explained

You can't improve a forecast you're not measuring properly. And a surprising amount of forecast accuracy measurement in the real world is quietly broken.
3 min read
10
Sep
Weeks of Cover: The Simplest Inventory Metric You're Probably Using Wrong

Weeks of Cover: The Simplest Inventory Metric You're Probably Using Wrong

Weeks of cover is one of the first metrics anyone learns in inventory planning, and one of the most commonly misused. The calculation is simple. The judgement around it is where most people go wrong.
3 min read
10
Sep
Safety Stock Explained Without the Textbook Nonsense

Safety Stock Explained Without the Textbook Nonsense

Safety stock exists because you're wrong. Your customer won't buy exactly what you forecast. Your supplier won't always deliver exactly when they promised. Production won't always make exactly what was scheduled. Safety stock is inventory you deliberately hold to absorb some of that uncertainty.
3 min read
10
Sep
How to Build a Supply Plan in Excel

How to Build a Supply Plan in Excel

A supply plan doesn't need to be complicated to be useful. At its core, it's a simple balance: opening inventory, plus what's coming in, minus what's going out, rolled forward week by week. Here's how to build one that actually holds up.
2 min read
10
Sep
How to Build a Demand Forecast in Excel

How to Build a Demand Forecast in Excel

You don't need expensive forecasting software to build a decent demand forecast. Most businesses, especially ones with a few hundred SKUs rather than a few hundred thousand, can get a genuinely useful forecast out of Excel. Here's how to actually build one.
3 min read
03
Sep
Demand Planning vs Supply Planning: What's the Difference?

Demand Planning vs Supply Planning: What's the Difference?

These two get used almost interchangeably in casual conversation, and in a lot of smaller businesses, one person quietly does both. That's fine at small scale.
3 min read
03
Sep
What Is Supply Planning?

What Is Supply Planning?

If demand planning answers "what are we going to sell," supply planning answers the question that actually determines whether that matters: can we make it, and get it where it needs to be, in time?
3 min read